Mark Gunnel’s Favorite Super Bowl Props
As we head to Super Bowl weekend, Mark Gunnels provides insights for his favorite props bets available at Bovada Sportsbook. Be sure to follow him on twitter, @MarkAGunnels.
If you’re not a fan of the Kansas City Chiefs or Philadelphia Eagles, then odds are you’ll be looking to make Super Bowl LVII as interesting as possible for yourself.
Of course, any game featuring Patrick Mahomes is worth watching. When you couple in Jalen Hurts, Andy Reid going against his old team, and the “Kelce Bowl”– there aren’t any shortages of storylines in this one in the desert.
Having said all of that, you’re going to want to make some prop bets to spice up the evening a little more. After all, this will be your last chance to bet on the NFL until September!
Where did the time go?
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My Favorite Prop Bets At Bovada
Jalen Hurts O/U carries – Over (10.5) -136
On the season, Hurts averages a little under 10 carries per game at 9.7. However, in the NFC Championship Game, Hurts ran the ball 11 times. The reason I like the over here is because this should be a close game. In a lot of the Eagles wins, they’ve won going away, so why put your body at risk? Now, with the Lombardi trophy at stake, expect Hurts to do whatever it takes and it helps the Chiefs are second in the league in sacks. More pressure means the more Hurts will have to use his legs.
Patrick Mahomes O/U pass attempts – Over (39.5) -126
This is arguably my favorite play. In Mahomes first two Super Bowls, he’s thrown the ball 42 and 49 times respectively. But what about the ankle? Well, he threw the ball 42 times last week in the AFC Championship Game. We know Andy loves to air it out and nothing should change this time around.
Patrick Mahomes O/U passing touchdowns – Over (2.5) +140
Good value play right here. Look, I know the touchdown numbers haven’t been there for Mahomes in his previous Super Bowl appearances, but you must believe he’s due, right? Anytime I can get this much value on Mahomes throwing three or more touchdowns, I’m taking it.
Travis Kelce O/U receiving yards – Over (80.5) -126
There’s no secret Kelce is Mahomes’ favorite target and for good reason. You’d think defenses would do a better job against Kelce since he’s always the number one guy to stop on the gameplan. Nonetheless, it doesn’t matter if you double or triple team him, the future Hall of Famer always finds a way to get open. Expect Mahomes to find Kelce early and often.
Travis Kelce first touchdown scorer +600
In 19 games played this season, Kelce has reached the endzone 15 times. If you had to pick anyone to score a touchdown in this game, Kelce would be the first name you mention. So, why not throw a flyer on him getting the first touchdown at +600? Those are pretty good odds.
Isiah Pacheco O/U receiving yards – Over (15.5) -114
If you look at Pacheco’s receiving numbers over the entire season, you wouldn’t be impressed. But there’s context to that. In the first 10 games of the season, Pacheco only totaled 13 receiving yards. In the last nine, the rookie has totaled 182 receiving yards. It’s clear the Chiefs coaching staff is starting to trust him more in this area, which is why I love this number.
Dallas Goedert O/U receptions – Over (4.5) -143
With all the resources defenses have to use to slow down Philly’s run game and their dynamic duo at receiver in AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith, someone is going to be open. Enter Dallas Goedert. He’s cleared this number in his last three games and I see no reason for that trend to stop here. Goedert is Hurts’ security blanket in the middle of the field.
CJ Gardner-Johnson O/U interceptions – Over (0.5) +750
Pure value play right here. CJ Gardner-Johnson is tied for the league lead in interceptions with six. It’s a combination of his ball skills plus the Eagles ferocious defensive line forcing quarterbacks into mistakes. Mahomes has thrown two picks in each of his Super Bowl appearances, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him throw one to CJ.
Both teams to score 29.5 +594
These are the top two offenses in the NFL at 28.7 points per game. With the game being played inside a dome, I wouldn’t be surprised if this turns into a track meet.
McKinnon to have 1+TD and KC win +298
Jerick McKinnon leads all running backs with nine receiving touchdowns. Whenever the Chiefs are near the goal line, there’s a good chance Mahomes will find McKinnon wide open. Also, with this game virtually being a coin flip, I think it’s pretty wise to pair these two together considering the favorable odds.
DeVonta Smith receiving yards range 101-125 +650
There’s obviously questions considering how limited Hurts is throwing the ball with that shoulder, but Smith is more than capable of breaking a few big ones against the Chiefs young secondary. On about half the teams in the league Smith would be a number one receiver. That’s just tough to be that when AJ is on your team. I still like the value here for a guy that nearly had 1,200 yards this season.