NFL Week 12 Betting Insights

NFL Betting Insights Week 12

As we gear up for Week 12 of the 2023 NFL season, Thanksgiving is just a few short days away. This week is not just about touchdowns and tackles; it’s also a time to gather around the table and give thanks for the Thanksgiving football feast served up by the NFL. As we carve into the turkey and indulge in pumpkin pie, the NFL treats us to a triple-header on Thanksgiving Day, featuring three mouthwatering matchups that are sure to leave us wanting seconds come Sunday.

Last week saw a number of interesting developments from around the NFL, including a season-ending injury to Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow. The Ravens, Dolphins, Jaguars, Cowboys, 49ers and Bills all cruised to easy wins, while the Rams and Broncos delivered a pair of thrilling one-point victories. The week culminated with an epic edition of Monday Night Football, as the Eagles picked up a huge win on the road over the Chiefs in a rematch of last year’s Super Bowl.


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Looking ahead at the NFL’s Week 12 schedule, there’s a lot to unpack. In addition to the trio of Thanksgiving Day games, football fans are also treated to the NFL’s Black Friday game the following day. It all leads up to another full slate of games on Sunday, giving you ample betting opportunities. Bovada Sportsbook has betting odds on every NFL game, allowing you to add some extra excitement to your Thanksgiving holiday and beyond! Whether you’re celebrating touchdowns or turkey, make sure to check out the NFL betting insights below and get ready to feast on both football and winnings this weekend!

Lions Roar

Having hosted a Thanksgiving Day football game every year since 1934, the Lions will kick-off this Thursday’s triple-header in a matchup with the Packers. Green Bay is just 4-6 this season but are coming off a big win over the Chargers on Sunday, including a stellar performance by Packers QB Jordan Love. They’ll certainly need to be at their best versus Detroit, with the 8-2 Lions enjoying their best start since 1962.

Detroit is currently a 7.5-point favorite in this Thanksgiving Day game and they’ve gone an NFL-best 7-3 against the spread (ATS) this year. The Lions have been particularly strong within the division, winning 11 of their last 12 NFC North matchups, while the Packers are just 2-11 ATS in their last 12 games versus Detroit. Green Bay could be missing a number of key players, with RB Aaron Jones, TE Luke Musgrave, CB Jaire Alexander and several others questionable with injuries. You may want to buy the half-point to play it safe, but roll with the Lions if you’re looking for a Thanksgiving Day feast!

Texas Turkey

The Cowboys come into Thanksgiving as the biggest favorite of Week 12, currently laying 10.5-points to the 4-7 Commanders. At 7-3, Dallas is clearly the better team but they’ll need to avoid the perils of a trap game. While their offense has been red-hot as of late, the Cowboys will need to play well in order to cover this large spread. And even if Dallas does their part, Washington is certainly capable of scoring late to pick up a backdoor-cover.

Reviewing some of the more telling NFL betting trends surrounding this football matchup, the Cowboys have gone just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 Thanksgiving Day games. Making matters worse, the Commanders are 5-1 ATS on the road this season and 6-1-1 in their last 8 games as the underdog. This game may not result in a shocking upset, but don’t be surprised if a garbage-time touchdown keeps the Commanders within 10 points when the final whistle is blown.


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Pacific Power Struggle

This year’s Thanksgiving Day tripleheader concludes with an NFC West showdown between the 49ers and Seahawks. Featuring the top two teams in the division, the final outcome of this game could end up having a major impact on the NFL playoff picture. San Francisco is 7-3 and listed as a 7-point betting favorite over Seattle, who’s 6-4 and looking to get right after last week’s disheartening loss to the Rams.

The big news surrounding this game is the injury status of Seahawks QB Geno Smith, who suffered an elbow injury on Sunday and is currently listed as questionable. If Smith cannot play, it will be up to backup Drew Lock to take over under center – not a promising proposition versus San Francisco’s vaunted defensive front. Seattle’s injury woes don’t stop there, as starting RB Kenneth Walker and WR Tyler Lockett are also listed as questionable. Need more? The 49ers an impressive 10-1 ATS in their last 11 divisional games and can take a stranglehold on the division with a win.

No Ordinary Joe

The Bengals will be without their franchise quarterback on Sunday, as Joe Burrow suffered a season-ending wrist injury last week against the Ravens. Although their season is all but over, Cincinnati must turn their attention to Week 12 as they get ready to take on the 6-4 Steelers.

The loss of Burrow had a clear impact on the betting odds for this game, with the Bengals currently listed as 1-point home underdogs. In his place will be Jake Browning, Cincinnati’s backup quarterback and an undrafted free agent out of University of Washington. Unfortunately for Browning, his first career NFL start will come against a Steelers defense that ranks second in the NFL with 19 takeaways.

The offensive play won’t be any prettier for Pittsburgh, where offensive coordinator Matt Canada was just fired for the team’s disappointing production this season, including last week’s 10-point output versus Cleveland. The scoring production has been abysmal this year long, with 8 of 10 Steelers games this season staying under the total. Bovada Sportsbook currently has the total for this game set at 35 points and that number may not be low enough when looking at these two offenses.